Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts

Monday, February 23, 2009

When to say goodbye


Just this week, my mailing list service run by an American startup went literally belly up. There I was wondering why I couldn't send out my newsletter when I received an email saying that due to the financial meltdown the company (which incidentally went to great lengths to get my custom in the first place) had to close IMMEDIATELY.

Just like GTV there was absolutely no notice given.

I have also previously had the misfortune of having both my broker and bank also go the titanic way.

So is this what is to be expected as a normal occurrence?

Today's Business Daily in an article "Watch out for tell-tale signs that a company is going bust" writes that the right time to assess the business credibility and sustainability of who you deal with is now.
"The best time to be spotting the signs of mounting risk is before the juggernaut goes off the road." - Business Daily, Feb 24, 2009

Unfortunately, very often we witness rapid expansions of our banks, brokers and even supermarkets. However, there is also the excuse we tell ourselves, that if they run out of liquidity, they will be propped up, preety much in the same way the US government is propping up American industry. However, while Kenya is grappling with financial crisis of its own, I think we need to re-assess that supposition.

Read "Watch out for tell-tale signs that a company is going bust"

Postscript: Finally, it seems that Kenya's new Finance Minister Uhuru Kenyatta is hearing the cries of "UNGA" from Kenyans. Yesterday, while introducing a new budgeting mechanism, Mr. Kenyatta said that the days of large Kenyan delegations flying across the globe are over. More importantly he said that the government should in turn be more accountable to the people of Kenya. As the Daily Nation editorial says: "Uhuru is a new broom; let him sweep clean". We at Yipe couldn't agree more.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Kenya Youth Enterprise Fund: Show us the money - "tusiharibu wakati bure!"

Yesterday the youth fund management and leading banks were at State House launching their three year strategic plan and signing partnership agreements. This event has been covered in the media, however the story on the nation online carries a very interesting comment. A reader called “ronns” posts: “hey, is this for real? if anyone has received this funding please let us know tusiharibu wakati bure”.

And ronn’s comments belies the real controversy over the effectiveness of the youth (as well as the women’s enterprise) development funds. How many people have actually received this funding?

This is not the first time this issue is being raised. In an earlier blog, we actually wrote about the failings of both funds, in that they were not equipped to reach as many Kenyan youth and women entrepreneurs as possible. The blog “Youth Fund: It is not enough just to open the gates of opportunity” posted in October this year decried the fact that it seems that there is so much money available (yesterday the youth fund received another injection of Kshs. 1.75 billion shillings ($22 million) from the government) but the means of accessing it remain remote. So it is not surprising that people such as ronn are asking the fund managers to show them the money. It’s no use getting our hopes up and wasting valuable time.

Youth entrepreneurs have already managed to fight the odds. Still engaging in enterprise despite facing multitudes of negative stereotypical and patronising attitudes as well as a perceived lack of credibility, particularly from formal finance institutions. These young innovators have without recourse to bank loans managed to grow businesses on bootstraps. Relying on their wits and sheer fortitude, they have become adept at sharing and sub-letting even the smallest amounts of space, using innovative and cheap marketing techniques, outsourcing work for which they don’t have specific technical expertise, amongst other resourceful means of operating their businesses.

Of course they would appreciate the chance to borrow money to startup new ventures as well as expand existing ones; but the model of the youth fund distribution also acts as a deterrent to their accessing finance.

Firstly the number of intermediaries particularly in rural areas are few, though it was commendable to hear that First Community Bank has at least taken up the mantle to ensure that as many youth in Northern Kenya can get access to the youth fund.

However, the second issue that we have previously posed was that banks as intermediaries for the fund act as a disincentive. For youth entrepreneurs who may have previously been denied credit by these same institutions, there is a marked hesitancy to approach these banks again, despite the ongoing advertising campaign by the Ministry of Youth Affairs. Being denied a loan for your business is preety much on the same scale as being denied a visa to the US or Europe. An entrepreneur who has tied up all their own resources and financial future in their enterprise takes it as an affront to their business vision, and hence themselves. Trying to convince that same entrepreneur to go to a bank to access the youth funds is a bit like pulling teeth without forceps.

Thirdly, even if you can get the young entrepreneur to go to the bank to apply for the funds, they will find a banking culture that is based on assessing whether the loan can be repaid, not on the actual viability of the startup. As we wrote in our previous post, without any culture change in the banking fraternity, you can still expect the loan officer in the bank to be more focussed on when the youth entrepreneur will pay back the loan rather than on the business profitability.

Finally we suggest that the youth enterprise fund should place more emphasis on its social impact rather than the number of loan beneficiaries. Yes, it is good to hear that loan repayments are in the 90% range. However, what has been the actual impact of growth on the 55,000 funded youth enterprises, the livelihoods of the youth who received the loans and the wider community?

For instance regarding the over 200,000 new jobs which the youth fund say have been established over the last two years: What proportion of these are the founding entrepreneurs and specifically how many people have been employed to work in these ventures? If there is to have been a significant impact on society, how much money in salaries and wages do the employees in these youth owned ventures earn?

The first two can be measured almost immediately by the youth fund whilst we do agree the wider societal impact would take longer. However, these indicators are what will truly measure the success of the enterprise fund rather than how many youth groups repaid their loans.

During yesterday’s event, President Kibaki also said that the youth had proven that they could “be trusted with any amount of money”. Isn’t it time that the youth fund starts lending money to individual entrepreneurs rather than groups?

The Youth Fund’s three-year strategic plan seeks to boost the Fund to Sh7.2 billion by 2011. As it is youth entrepreneurs are busy enough, most being the sole operators of their businesses. They lose money when they have to close shop to go seeking these funds, only to come face to face with a system riddled with obstacles and negative attitudes towards youth business. So please Youth Enterprise Fund managers don’t waste their time, in ronn’s words, tusiharibu wakati bure!

Thursday, November 20, 2008

The predator lurks in daylight … with a loan!

The other day I dropped by Judy’s hair salon for a quick touch up. I have been patronising this salon for several years; not really because she is the best hairdresser in town, but mainly because going to Judy’s always leaves you in stitches, literally!

No sooner have you settled in a seat than she starts to regale you with stories on who came to the shop the other day, who dyes her hair black yet we know her real age, who got married, who got divorced, the real Kenyan political situation and lots more.

However, on that day Judy wasn’t upto her usual customer information routine. In fact after she pulled my hair a couple of times, I asked her what was wrong.

It took me longer than my usual hour visit before I managed to leave.

Judy was in low spirits because she had taken out a loan from a local bank to buy shares on the Nairobi stock exchange. Specifically, Judy was the now-not-so-proud owner of 10,000 safaricom shares which as of when we spoke had lost 40% in value. However the loan Judy took out is still earning interest which in turn is eating into the salon’s kitty.

Judy is not alone. In fact the most recent IPO of the Co-operative Bank showed a lacklustre performance, not only because of the closing down of rogue stockbrokers, suspect trading of shares (Bamburi and Crown Berger) and the financial crunch. Investors such as Judy had no money to buy shares because they are now paying off loans for shares whose prices have plummeted. I dare even Joseph Nyagah the enthusiastic Co-operative Minister to try and convince Judy that Co-operative Bank shares are a good buy. In fact I dare the entire co-operative movement to pull off this one!

The NSE and Capital Markets Authority also have a dire job on their hands of convincing investors such as Judy that when they finally finish paying off the Safaricom share loans, that the stock market will still be a worthy wealth creation opportunity. I personally wish them luck in this endeavour.

From the media blitzkrieg over the Safaricom IPO with banks fighting for prime time media slots to pawn off loans to Kenyan investors, the Co-op bank IPO came and went very quietly. Maybe even the banks realised that trying to entice prospective investors to take out loans again would be in poor taste, especially following the debacle of the Safaricom share dip.

However this silence does not mean that the war for loans is over. The battle to flog loans is still raging. In fact on main streets of many Kenyan towns you find the ubiquitous tent sporting a financial institution's logo with marketers offering loans. Apart from a pep talk and maybe even a cup of tea for the lucky, you can get a house loan, car loan, education loan or even money to go to Dubai to buy goods that you can sell on your return. As long as you have a payslip, you can get a loan.

Then the banks have also become innovative in their accounts. One time monthly payment accounts are all the rage. However, these one size fit all accounts do not give any leeway if say you don’t use the majority of the features. You get charged every month regardless. Furthermore, consumers who previously would never have even thought of applying for a credit card are having them forced onto them. Most bank ATM cards at least double up as debit cards.

Banks are eating up Kenyan investors mercilessly… and it smells of predatory lending.

Predatory Lending

According to the US Federal Reserve Board, predatory lending includes:
1. Offering unaffordable loans without regard to the borrower’s ability to repay the obligation;
2. Inducing a borrower to refinance a loan repeatedly, even though the refinancing may not be in the borrower’s interest; and
3. Concealing the true nature of the loan obligation from an unsuspecting or unsophisticated borrower.

According to Wikipedia types of lending sometimes also referred to as predatory include “payday loans, credit cards or other forms of consumer debt, and overdraft loans, when the interest rates are considered unreasonably high”.

Predators characteristically target the financially unsophisticated as well as those who do not qualify for mainstream credit products.

In the United States, the practice is prevalent amongst minority populations. Predatory lending in Native American communities is significant. The National Community Reinvestment Coalition in a 2000 survey found that nationally, Native Americans fall victim to predatory lenders more often than the general population and were 2.5 to 3 times more likely to receive “sub-prime” loans than whites.

African Americans and other minorities have also been found as being disproportionately led to sub-prime mortgages with higher interest rates than their white counterparts . An article on kenyanemergency blog called it a ‘financial Katrina’ which is unfolding, threatening to wipe out low-income neighbourhoods.

With such destructive loans currently being widely publicised in the media, one would think that this practice is a new phenomenon. However, Muhammad Yunus arguably the most popular micro-financier began Grameen ostensibly to protect small entrepreneurs from predatory lenders.

Barack Obama also used predatory loans as a campaign issue.

Closer to home, columnist Joachim Buwembo writing in the East African in the September 1-7 2008 edition in an article “Kampala debtors compete for 4Ws and space at Luzira Prison” talked about this consumer debt as a “new” disease. Reporting that in August four prominent Ugandans were imprisoned as a result of debts, Buwembo said that this crises has shown “how fragile our businesses and personal economies can be”. Ironically the same newspaper also had an article about the (central) Bank of Tanzania formulating a mechanism to reign in micro-finance institutions that were charging as much as 200% of the principle amount.

The current financial crisis and increased consumer indebtedness makes it clear that entrepreneurs such as Judy need to learn early and well how to manage finances responsibly and develop healthy “money habits”.

In simple English, that means when the deal is too sweet, think twice!